Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Desperate Measures to Tackle Credit Crisis Discussed

A Financial Times story reports that the Financial Stability Forum, which is tasked with finding remedies to our credit crisis, is circulating a paper which suggests some radical possible solutions. The fact that these measures are under consideration says that the authorities do not expect a resolution any time soon.

One paragraph caught my eye:
Among the ideas floated was getting a large group of the most important banks simultaneously to disclose their financial positions based on a "common template" including information on the prices attributed to different securities and the methodologies used to derive them.

This would include standardised disclosure of exposures to collateralised debt obligations, residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities, leveraged finance, exposure to off-balance sheet entities and capital and liquidity resources. One party present said there was widespread interest in this idea.

This is a stunning request. The banking authorities don't already posses this information? What were they doing in their regulatory reviews, drinking sherry while listening to PowerPoint presentations? Regulated entities should be reporting on a periodic basis, in formats dictated by the regulators, and that ought to include their pricing methodologies. Otherwise, any data gathering is a garbage-in, garbage-out exercise.

This development confirms my worst suspicions. The regulators weren't merely out-maneuvered by bankers skilled in deception financial wizardry; they enabled it by taking a "see no evil, hear no evil, speak no evil" stance.

The only thing that might make this need defensible is if various national regulators have widely differing frameworks for data compilation, and a one-shot probe is needed to calibrate them. But the FT article did not give that impression. If anything, it implied that the FSF was having to pressure recalcitrant central bankers and financial regulators.

From the Financial Times:
Radical strategies to fight the credit crisis including temporary suspension of capital requirements, taxpayer-funded recapitalisation of banks and outright public purchase of mortgage-backed securities are being actively discussed by governments and central banks.

These were among possible next steps discussed in Rome on Friday at a meeting of the Financial Stability Forum, the body co-ordinating the global response to the market turmoil....

The steps are set out in an options paper prepared for governments, banks and regulators by the FSF, led by Mario Draghi, the governor of the Bank of Italy, a copy of which has been obtained by the Financial Times....

The FSF floated temporarily suspending capital and reporting rules that tie prudential requirements to market values of securities.

Regulators could temporarily change capital rules under Basel II to allow trading assets to be treated as available-for-sale, reducing their impact on capital calculations.

Alternatively, regulators could temporarily relax regulatory capital minimums wholesale, the FSF said. It noted that an alternative approach would be to suspend accounting rules for some assets, but said this could "damage market confidence."

Authorities could organise a consortium of long-term private investors to buy mortgage assets from banks, possibly with state "co-investment" or governments could buy assets outright.....

The FSF raised the possibility that governments might want to "announce a coordinated operation to boost capital simultaneously in a number of institutions" with the help of public funds, to avoid stigma problems.

Central banks could further expand their liquidity support operations, including expanding the eligible collateral and providing emergency liquidity support to troubled institutions.

Many of the FSF's ideas are likely to encounter resistance from governments and central banks, but the fact they are being mooted points to policymakers' concern about the outlook and willingness to explore unorthodox solutions.